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Events to Look Out for Next Week

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  • Event of the Week – Non-Farm Payrolls (USD, GMT 12:30) – A 140k September Nonfarm Payroll increase is anticipated after gains of 187k in August, 157k in July, and 105k in June. Initial claims fell in September after an August bounce, while continuing claims remain tight. We expect the jobless rate to tick down to 3.7% from 3.8% in August, versus a 54-year low for the two-digit rate of 3.39% in April. Hours-worked are assumed to be flat after a 0.4% August rise, while the workweek ticks down to 34.3 from 34.4 in August. Average hourly earnings are assumed to rise 0.4%, after a 0.2% gain in August, while the y/y wage gain should hold at 4.3% for a second month. In the last expansion, we saw a 3.5% peak for y/y wage gains in both February and July of 2019, before the pandemic-boost to an 8.0% peak in April of 2020. The ensuing strength in wage gains has allowed continued robust y/y increases, though the return of low-paid workers to the workforce is likely restraining wage increases.
  • Fed Waller Speech (USD, GMT 16:00)

Click here to access our Economic Calendar

Andria Pichidi

Market Analyst

Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in Leveraged Products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.




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