- Gross Domestic Product (GBP, GMT 06:00) – GDP is the economy’s most important figure. Q4’s GDP is expected to be unchanged at 0% q/q and 1.1% y/y.
- Producer Price Index (USD, GMT 12:30) – July PPI gains of 0.1% for the headline and 0.2% for the core are expected, after June rises of 0.1% for both the headline and the core. As expected readings would result in the y/y headline PPI metric rising to 0.6% from 0.1%, versus an all-time high of 11.7% in March of 2022. We expect the y/y core measure to fall to 2.2% from 2.4%, versus an all-time high of 9.7% in March of 2022. The y/y calculation has fallen sharply through mid-2023 as comparisons have become much easier.
- Michigan Sentiment (USD, GMT 14:00) – The US consumer sentiment printed 71.6 for the final July reading (was 72.6 preliminary). It is up 7.2 points on the month after rising 5.2 points to 64.4 in June. Confidence has been recovering from the -5.0 plunge to 62.0 in March on the fallout from the SVB collapse and related banking fallout. This is the strongest since October 2021’s 71.7 and is now well above the record nadir of 50.0 from June 2022.
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