- EUR/GBP was seen at 0.856 with a downside movement of 0.70%, it lowest since early September.
- In the daily and 4-hour chart, indicators hit oversold conditions after a seven-day losing streak.
- The cross will also close a 1.40% weekly loss.
In Friday’s session, the EUR/GBP pair was seen at 0.8560 after a downward rally of 0.70%. On the daily and four-hour chart, the cross reached oversold conditions suggesting that an upwards correction may be on the horizon, but the overall trend currently favours the sellers.
The technical indicators on the daily chart are exhibiting robust bearish momentum. The pair’s position beneath the 20, 100 and 200-day Simple Moving Averages (SMAs) underscores the dominant downward trend. In addition, the rising red bars of the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) concur with this downward outlook, reinforcing the influence of bearish pressure while the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is navigated into oversold territory, a sign typically associated with selling saturation which tends to be followed by an upwards correction.
Examining the four-hour chart on the shorter time frame presents similar bearish signals. The pair shows signs of oversold conditions, as evidenced by the Relative Strength Index (RSI). while the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) prints rising red bars.
Support Levels: 0.8530, 0.8515, 0.8500.
Resistance Levels: 0.8600, 0.8630, 0.8670.
EUR/GBP daily chart
As global markets continue to experience volatility, the EUR/GBP pair has once again grabbed the attention of forex traders and investors. The recent dive of the euro against the British pound has caused the pair to reach September lows, prompting many to wonder if this could be a sign of oversold conditions and a potential buying opportunity.
For those who are new to the forex market or simply unfamiliar with currency pairings, the EUR/GBP is a widely-traded currency cross that represents the value of the euro in relation to the British pound. A key factor that influences this pair’s movement is the economic performance of the European Union and the United Kingdom, as well as any political and social events that may have an impact on their respective currencies.
Now, let us delve deeper into the recent developments of the EUR/GBP and see what indicators are signaling oversold conditions.
The Latest Dive of EUR/GBP
The EUR/GBP has been on a downward trend since July, losing nearly 600 pips in the last three months. The pair’s most recent decline is mainly due to three major factors – a stronger British pound, a weaker euro, and concerns surrounding Brexit.
First, the British pound has been gaining strength against the euro as investors remain optimistic about the UK economy’s recovery from the pandemic. The country’s vaccination efforts and an easing of lockdown restrictions have led to an increase in consumer spending and business activity, boosting the pound.
On the other hand, the euro has been under pressure due to concerns about slower economic growth in the eurozone. The European Central Bank’s recent decision to maintain its accommodative monetary policy has also weighed on the currency. Additionally, fears about a potential second wave of COVID-19 cases in Europe have further weakened the euro’s outlook.
Lastly, Brexit uncertainty has resurfaced, with negotiations between the EU and the UK still ongoing. The lack of progress in reaching a trade deal has caused the British pound to take the lead in the EUR/GBP pair, as traders are wary of the potential consequences of a no-deal Brexit.
Indicators Pointing Towards Oversold Conditions
As the EUR/GBP reaches September lows, technical indicators are signaling potential oversold conditions for the pair. Let us take a look at two key indicators to gain a better understanding.
1. Relative Strength Index (RSI)
The RSI on the daily chart for EUR/GBP is currently below 30, which is generally considered the oversold threshold. This indicates that the pair may have been oversold and could potentially see a rebound in the near future.
2. Bollinger Bands
The Bollinger Bands, which measure the volatility of the currency pair, have widened significantly, indicating a sharp downtrend. However, the price of EUR/GBP has now fallen below the lower band, which is also considered an oversold condition. This could be a signal for traders to start considering buying opportunities.
What Does this Mean for Traders and Investors?
The recent dive of EUR/GBP to September lows and the oversold conditions signaled by technical indicators may present a buying opportunity for traders who are looking to capitalize on potential short-term gains. However, it is essential to note that the overall trend for the pair is still downwards, so traders must remain cautious and closely monitor market developments.
Strategies for Trading EUR/GBP
For traders who are considering taking advantage of the recent dive in the EUR/GBP pair, there are a few strategies that could be implemented. These include:
1. Swing Trading
Swing trading is a short-term trading strategy that involves holding a position for a few days or weeks, taking advantage of the pair’s swings. This could be a suitable strategy for traders looking to capitalize on the potential rebound of EUR/GBP from its oversold conditions.
2. Position Trading
Position trading is a longer-term strategy that involves holding a position for several weeks or months, with the aim of capturing major price movements. Traders using this strategy may consider buying EUR/GBP at the September lows and holding the position until the pair potentially returns to its previous highs.
Hedging involves opening positions in both directions of a currency pair to reduce potential losses. With the current volatility and uncertainty surrounding the EUR/GBP, hedging could be a viable strategy for traders looking to mitigate their risks.
The EUR/GBP has recently reached September lows, with technical indicators signaling oversold conditions. Traders and investors should closely monitor market developments as this could present a potential buying opportunity, but it is essential to remain cautious and consider using risk management strategies when trading the currency pair.
In the ever-changing forex market, it is vital to stay informed and adapt to the latest developments to make well-informed trading decisions. By keeping a close eye on technical indicators and paying attention to the fundamental factors that drive the EUR/GBP pair, traders can have a better understanding of the current market conditions and potentially take advantage of profitable opportunities.